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Showing posts from December, 2018

Are Indian markets over-valued?

During 2018, there have been many events that moved the Indian markets towards life time highs followed by often getting corrected. We are at the end of year and markets have undergone a correction of 8% after reaching its life time high in August 2018. I have been thinking if at these current levels, are Indian markets over-valued or can we still expect it to reach new highs in coming year? Before writing down my thoughts on 2019, today I discuss about the current levels. I have done a very primary evaluation of valuation of markets, using P/E Ratio of market index, GDP growth, 10 year G-Sec yield and comparing their movement over a span of 13 years. (I have extended the normal period of 10 years by 2-3 years, as 2008 has been an exception and I wanted to showcase  market trends before 2008). As per the below chart, the current P/E Ratio is 26.43 times, whereas the mean for 13 year period (2006- 2018) is 20.53 times. The ratio has peaked in last 2 years from 21 times i...

What Mr Buffet has to say when the markets are tanking?

In December 2018, US markets have witnessed worst December performance since the Great Depression, year 1931 with 7% slump in stock market valuation. And here's a extract of poetry by Rudyard Kipling, quoted by Mr Buffet for the Investors.. "If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs ... If you can wait and not be tired by waiting ... If you can think – and not make thoughts your aim ... If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you ... Yours is the Earth and everything that's in it." There is an array of events to watch for in 2019 and we better tighten our seat-belt for the roller coaster ride !!!